VALVE INDUSTRY'S MODEST DECLINE WILL BE SHORT-LIVED
Reason for optimism, despite projected downturn
WASHINGTON, DC (April 7, 2009) – As in many industries, the last decade has been kind to the U.S. and Canadian industrial valve industry, which has seen a steady climb in sales and profits. But valve and actuator shipments rise and fall with the fate of the industries in which they are used, from power generation and chemical processing, to oil & gas and water/wastewater. Now, with many of those industries on a downward track, the Valve Manufacturers Association (VMA) estimates a 5% decrease in industrial valve shipments in 2009 — the first such decrease in a decade.
When VMA Chairman Sam Bennardo, president of AUMA Actuators. Inc., Canonsburg, Penn., began his term following VMA’s annual meeting last fall, he knew the valve industry — and the economy — would be facing a challenging year, yet he remains optimistic about the future. .In VMA’s market forecast, we estimate shipments of valves and actuators to return to their 2007, $3.8 billion,. says Bennardo. Still, compared to how other industries are faring — the automotive industry, for instance — this is a pretty modest decline, and total sales still should be considerably higher than just five years ago, when total shipments were at $3.2 billion..
The valve industry typically doesn’t have highs and lows as dramatic as other industries because different end-user markets don’t cycle up and down at the same time. .We’ve had years where a couple of key end-user markets are going gangbusters, while others are in decline,. says Bennardo. And while this economic downturn is the worst most of us have ever seen, VMA has more than 70 years of history — and statistics — that show the valve industry will ultimately thrive because it supplies products for industries that are absolutely essential to a growing domestic and world population — water to drink and wastewater to treat; power and energy to light our way, run our businesses and factories, and get us where we need to go; and homes and buildings where we can live and work..
VMA does not expect the drop in valve shipments to continue for more than a year. .The valve industry typically lags about 6 to 9 months behind end users as projects are planned — or cancelled,. says Bennardo. With a huge number of infrastructure projects in the works, and some economists predicting a bottoming out of the recession in late 2009, the Valve Manufacturers Association forecast calls for a possible turnaround in the second quarter of 2010.
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